192 Comments

Super Bowl XLVIII Preview & Prediction

| January 30th, 2014

newark

Administrative Note: The longish piece I’ve been working on will debut next week, after the Super Bowl. It is about the NFL, gambling and their hypocritical approach to “fantasy sports”.

Before we bother with silly football analysis, here is the…

QUINTESSENTIAL NJ SPORTS COMMERCIAL

PERCY HARVIN FACTOR

Folks might think it’s an odd way to start analyzing this Super Bowl but what is Denver looking at tape-wise to prepare for Percy Harvin? What did he play, two games? Did he finish either one? Harvin is WITHOUT QUESTION the most dynamic pass-catching weapon on the Seahawks roster and the Broncos defensive coaching staff (which happens to include a couple really terrific minds) will essentially be guessing how he’ll be used. People think I’m crazy but I think this is Seattle’s most significant advantage heading into Sunday.

YE OLD STYLE SIX PACK

  • Peyton Manning is too smart to approach Seattle’s secondary with a “challenge them” mindset. His goal Sunday night is going to be to use Knowshon Moreno and Montee Ball to get the dynamic Seahawks safeties cheating up towards the line of scrimmage. Once those fellas start thinking run, Peyton will attack the middle of the field.
  • I see a pass rusher emerging in this game with a major effort and get the sense it’ll be Martellus Bennett’s brother, Michael. Would a multi-sack Super Bowl price him out of Chicago? (My backup selection is Jeremy Mincey, another player who might be able to cash in on a spotlight performance.)
  • Watch out for special teams in this game. (1) I think the Broncos have a significant advantage in the return game and the return game can throw these Super Bowls on their heads. (2) If the wind’s howling in the Meadowlands Matt Prater is going to struggle getting the ball through the end zone. Will Percy Harvin become a factor here too?
  • When someone says out loud, with a straight face, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is the best member of your secondary, you’re in a bit of trouble. If I were Seattle offensive coordinator (and Bears HC finalist) Darrell Bevell I’d spread the Broncos secondary out and attack. Most expect the Seahawks to want this game played in a phone booth. I’d play it in a parking garage.
  • Seattle’s defense does not camouflage a lot of their alignments. They don’t try to confuse opponents by bunching linebackers at the line or disguising coverages. They line up. They beat you. But this approach rarely works against Peyton Manning, who’ll have studied every snap every rotational defender on Seattle has ever played. Can it be successful Sunday night?
  • Denver can’t let Russell Wilson extend drives with his legs. If he completes passes to move the chains, fine. But when the play breaks down Phillips, Ayers, Jackson and Mincey have to keep contain and get the defense off the field.

old style

A NOTE ON RICHARD SHERMAN

He better get as much publicity as possible this week because Peyton Manning won’t bother throwing in his direction if he doesn’t have to. That’s the problem with being a shutdown corner. You’re invisible to the general public during the actual football games.

QUICK QUESTION…

How much do the folks who run Roman numerals pay the NFL? Roman numerals are used in literally no other walk of life anymore but the NFL keeps them in business each year by tossing them on the Super Bowl.

roman-numerals

WHERE IS DEXTER JACKSON NOW?

Per Wikipedia:

On September 19, 2011, Dexter Jackson and former World Boxing Organizationcruiserweight world champion Tyrone Booze began a new radio show called “All Sports” with Randy Harris on Clearwater, Florida‘s WTAN AM 1340.[2] The show is also aired on WDCFWZHR and online on the Talking Sports Network.[3]

Jackson currently works for the children’s crisis center of Mental Health Care, Inc., a non-profit organization in Tampa.[5]

Here’s a profile piece I’d like to read on Super Bowl week. Maybe I should write one. Seems the guy is doing pretty damn well for himself.

WHO IS GOING TO WIN MVP?

WRAPPING GAME UP IN TWO SENTENCES

Peyton Manning stays away from the physical Seahawks corners and attacks the middle of the field with Julius Thomas, Wes Welker and a few pivotal catches from Jacob Tamme. Denver’s underrated rush defense forces the game onto Russell Wilson’s shoulders and the kid isn’t ready.

FINAL SCORE

Denver Broncos 29, Seattle Seahawks 20

Tagged: , , , , ,

  • gpldan

    The Super Bowl, Roger’s personal Heroin Happy Meal for America

    http://thecelebritycafe.com/feature/2014/01/mcdonald-s-employee-sells-heroin-through-happy-meals

    I do send out hopes that Welker gets to make the winning catch; redemption for his drop with the Pats that he had to hear it from Gisselle about post-game when she mouthed off that he cost the Pats the game. THen, when he hoists the Lombardi he says “this one’s for Gisselle!” That would be some must see TV, right there.

    • CanadaBear

      You know Brady must have wanted to tell her to shut up but didn’t have the stones.

      • johnnywad

        I wouldn’t tell her to shut up. I’d say yes ma’am. Please show me that thing you do again. And again. And again.

        • MB30SD

          she’s not that hot anymore and over the last few years the things that have come out about her actions… she seems like an upity biatch.

          • johnnywad

            All true. I was kidding anyway. Never been into skinny bitches. All I see is collar bones and elbows. No thanks. I’d be more about the gajillion dollars a year she brings home. Or brought home . . . . . .

          • SC Dave

            Yes on the dinero. So long as she’d spend it on me, I’d man up and suffer bruises here and there while I satisfied the primal urges I evoked in her.

          • MB30SD

            Hahahahaha… well played sir.

          • MB30SD

            supposedly she brought in over a billion. Fucken a, talk about a power couple.

            All for being hot and for throwing a football. smh.

          • Irish Sweetness

            Remember Victoria Principal? Not just a hot piece of sweet chicken, she made herself a billion or two in business. Cosmetics I think.

          • Irish Sweetness

            Maneuverability, Johnny. Maneuverability.

  • MB30SD

    See, here’s my deal…

    I just don’t think Denver is strong enough as a whole unit. Manning is great, but not great enough.

    Wilson and beast mode step up and Seattle by 14.

    (Fuck Denver)

    • Irish Sweetness

      Not a game I’d bet on, but I’ll take the defense by 3 and Turtlehead to retire next year with as many rings as the Great Jim McMahon …… and Snake Stabler.

      (MB facepalms)

    • gpldan

      Fuck Denver!

    • My Bad Guys, My Bad…

      Seattle can’t score without D setting the table. Broncos win this.

      • Trac

        Man, Seattle all the way. Don’t forget they already beat the broncos early in the season. 40-10 I think. Who said preseason doesn’t count? Yuk yuk.

        • MB30SD

          supposedly manning doesn’t lose to teams twice in a season.

          Meh, I stand by my seattle by 14 call.

  • Irish Sweetness

    “Peyton Manning stays away from the physical Seahawks corners and attacks the middle of the field with …”
    …….. the best safety pairing in the NFL waiting for him ?

    • MB30SD

      Yeeeeeees my preeeecious

  • Irish Sweetness

    Just watched the Cohen Bros. new flick “Inside Llewyn Davis”. Not sure why they bothered. No story. None.

  • MB30SD
  • MB30SD

    little blast from the past to commemorate the second to last day of the week.

    http://www.mandatory.com/2014/01/30/the-15-most-insane-epic-meal-time-episodes-of-all-time/

  • MB30SD
  • Johnathan Wood

    IMO the key to this game is the Seattle rushing attack against the Denver run D. The teams that were able to beat Denver this year did it by running the ball and keeping Peyton off the field (although the wind certainly helped NE out quite a bit to slow Peyton).

    Denver’s run D has been very good in these playoffs in slowing two potent rushing attacks. If they can stop SEA from running the ball effectively and controlling the clock, it’s tough to see Denver losing.

    • gpldan

      You may enjoy the story up on Grantland about Beast Mode Lynch. As usual, those guys lend themselves to stat methods – and their point was basically – Lynch tends to regress to the mean. If there was a guy you wanted to bet on blowing the whole game for the Hawks, it’s a big fumble from Lynch.

      • Johnathan Wood

        Lynch to me is a better Eddie Lacy. Tough to bring down, but to slow to be a true stud. They can wear a defense down over the course of the game, but will never be a true top back because they don’t have breakaway speed (although Lynch has more of that than Lacy, IMO).

        • Irish Sweetness

          I’ll never forget ‘that run’ Marshawn made. Reminded me a bit of Wally’s run against the Chiefs …’that run’.

  • NewBearInTown

    “Seattle’s defense does not camouflage a lot of their alignments. They don’t try to confuse opponents by bunching linebackers at the line or disguising coverages. They line up. They beat you. But this approach rarely works against Peyton Manning, who’ll have studied every snap every rotational defender on Seattle has ever played. Can it be successful Sunday night?”

    Exactly wrong Jeff. Teams that try to disguise weak play from defenders with all the fancy allignments are the ones that get burned. Peyton is too good at finding the hot route, the good matchup, whatever, and getting the ball out before the blitz hits home. You beat Manning by being better than his receivers at fundamental pass coverage, better than his line at controlling the LOS, and better than him at avoiding mistakes. He’s beatable, but not by confusing him presnap.

    • Johnathan Wood

      I think the most important thing for SEA on D will be getting pressure on Peyton. That’s the only chance you have of stopping him. Jam the receivers off the line, force him to hold the ball for that extra split second, hope that gives the rush time to hit home.

      • Irish Sweetness

        Absolutely. Jam the shit of them for five yards while the Bears’ next DE does his thing.

    • gpldan

      Exactly the point on Grantland. I’m like their shill.

      http://grantland.com/features/peyton-manning-denver-broncos-offense/

      You beat Manning with big corners making him throw deeper routes and higher touch balls because his arm isn’t powerful. You take away underneath routes and short dumps and see if he can beat you over the top.

      • Johnathan Wood

        Especially in the wind. Manning is the smartest QB in the NFL right now (very possibly ever), but he’s probably in the bottom 10% for arm strength. Still highly accurate on the short and intermediate stuff. So you have to take that away to have any chance at stopping him.

        It always pissed me off when the one deep shot to Marvin Harrison in the SB scared the Bears into sitting back and letting Peyton pick them apart underneath. In the downpour he took 2 shots all game. The 1st was a terrible throw that was intercepted. The 2nd was a terrible throw that was a long TD because of a blown coverage (the receiver stopped, went back to the ball, and STILL was able to take off and run another 30 yards).

        If Chicago had just coached that game smart on both offense (run the ball, they couldn’t stop Thomas Jones) and defense (play up, Peyton couldn’t throw deep) they win that Super Bowl. But instead the coaches acted like morons and the Bears lost pretty easily.

        • MB30SD

          “But instead the coaches acted like morons”

          Acted like?!? Jon… were.

    • Irish Sweetness

      That did my head in during the LDL reign. Brian and the boys runnign up tot he line throwing blitz shapes … and then you could bet your children they’d all drop back as soon as the ball was snapped. Nobody was ever fooled. Net result? Your LBs/DBs all out of position as the receivers have all gotten the nod to go long. Bullshit.

  • George Hernandez

    Julius Thomas is 40:1 to win SuperBowl MVP, He’s my sleeper.

    • johnnywad

      I’ll eat my hat if its not Manning or Wilson.

      • MB30SD

        could easily end up beast mode if things go his way.

        • Johnathan Wood

          or a Seattle defensive player if one of them has a monster game in a low-scoring affair.

          • MB30SD

            agree… earl thomas or even, dare I throw it out there… richard sherman?

            bobby wagner is another possibilty

      • AlbertInTucson

        Marshawn Lynch is a possibilty. Can you see them trying to get him to say “I’m goin’ to Disneyland!”

    • Irish Sweetness

      The day a TE wins the MVP is when his name is Peyton Manning. They’ll probably make Manning the MVP even if Seattle wins.

    • George Hernandez

      I agree that it’s a longshot which is why I was saying sleeper. 10 of the last 15 SuperBowl MVP’s have been QB’s. Even the year fivehead beat us in the Superbowl his stats were pedestrian 25/38, 247, 1TD, 1INT Hayden or Dominic Rhodes should have been the MVP of that game. I just think that at 40:1 and some of the games he has put up this season, he’s a good bet outside of the obvious candidates (Manning, Wilson, Lynch).

  • johnnywad

    http://chicago.cbslocal.com/2014/01/30/tillman-i-guarantee-i-will-retire-as-a-bear/

    Nut’s either retiring or back as a Bear next year. Dude does what he says he’ll do.

    • CanadaBear

      That still leaves him some wiggle room. He could play for another team and then sign a 24 hour deal to retire a Bear. Hope he stays.

      • johnnywad

        That’s not a Tillman move. Don’t see that happening. I’m betting Peanut sees the offense for what it is and knows they’re close to contending with key moves on the D. I hope he stays too, it just doesn’t seem like his body’s up for it. So I guess its all sentimental. Good thing I’m no GM.

        • SC Dave

          No shit on that last sentence. Having to make those kind of calls cannot be easy.

    • MB30SD

      I love him.

      Really hope he stays with us.

    • MB30SD

      btw,

      “Mike brown the greatest safety to come through the doors of halas hall…. bar none”

      BOOM!

      • johnnywad

        Sigh . . . . . . Al Afalava . . . . . . .Chris Harris . . . . . . . Adam Archuleta . . . . . . .Sigh . . . . . . . Brandon Hardin . . . . . . . . . Chris Conte. . . . . . Major Wright . . . . . . . . I wonder if this year’s D would have been better or worse with just Mike Brown in the back. Just the one safety. Bears go ten on eleven. Brownie instead of Beavis and Butthead. Whaddya think?

      • SC Dave

        There are plenty of old timers who could contend that statement. Richie Petitbon, for one, is easily argued a better safety than Mike Brown.

        • MB30SD

          You and I DEF have different tastes in safeties

          • Irish Sweetness

            Nothing to do with taste, MB. Richie had 48 INTs to Brown’s 20, and 4 PBs to Brown’s’ 2. And I’ve got Fencik over Brown too – 38 interceptions. Smart player. Mike’s the best safety we’ve had in some time obviously, but he’s on the oldest franchise in the NFL. He’s definitely your favorite safety ;o)

          • SC Dave

            Thanks, Irish. Nice to have someone else cite the numbers for a change.

          • MB30SD

            Ahhh… Didn’t read down.

            first a correction, brown only played 100 games with us, he played 16 with KC.

            …So in that specific area one Could argue petibone is better, but one could also argue that brown could have had a couple great years and surpassed him if that charger fuck didn’t tackle him by the neck and end his career, what 2- 5 more seasons. And what about forced fumbles, sacks, pass defenses, game winning plays, etc… etc… let’s not make stats a personal weapon dave… don’t pick one, show them all. Maybe that still doesn’t put brown on top, but at least you’re revealing the whole picture.

            Look up Brown’s playing stats dave. His playing time was pretty solid early on and at the end, it was really only 3 years of misery in the middle.

            Anyway, peanut said the smartest safety the bears ever had, not the one with the most picks.

            Leadership and clutch don’t make it onto Stat sheets. The argument wasn’t about his being HOF worthy.

          • Irish Sweetness

            True, true, stats don’t say it all – and I didn’t see Petibon play …but staying on the field for ten years when it was a rougher game …and all those picks ….

          • MB30SD

            My pick wasn’t based on stats. Not everything in life is guys.

            …that and stats can be manipulated to provide the outcome you desire.

            I’d like to hear how many games each of those guys took to amass those numbers.

            Then I’m sure you’ll say, well that’s my point, brown was injury prone. Again, I took that into consideration. .. along with the facts that I never saw the other two play, and brown is the only guy to play the ‘modern’ game.

            Regardless of any of that, it is peanut’s and my OPINION… and either of you fellas trying to refute my opinion is… silly.

          • gpldan

            You vastly underestimate the effect that Dave Duerson had on the team. He was coming off replacing a departing Todd Bell and made a giant impact, so much so he eventually went and played for the Giants.

            And, please note this is coming from a guy who bought his ex-wife an away Mike Brown jersey when we were still married – but Mark Carrier had more good years and a broader impact on his team – or at least equal – than Mike Brown.

          • MB30SD

            I was going to mention DD and Fensik.

            Really, carrier over MB?!

          • IBNO

            But it depends on how you define “best.” Brown was better on the field, but not as durable, so his stats aren’t as good. Let’s be honest: the guy hit like Fencik, was as smart a player and a leader like Fencik, but had more physical tools and single-handedly changed games like no other Safety in Bears history.

          • Irish Sweetness

            There you go MB …. now put the mini-gun down … step away from the Bear fans …. target the Fudgers … re-focus. No comment on Carrier .. I was very, very drunk.

      • AlbertInTucson

        When I see one better than #24, Roosevelt Taylor, I will let you know.

        • Irish Sweetness

          32 picks for Mr. Taylor.

        • SC Dave

          Taylor was damn good for sure.

          • AlbertInTucson

            And before Butkus it was Bill George and Doug Atkins creating havoc up front.

      • IBNO

        Yeah, but Joe Louis is the greatest fighter who ever lived!

        • Irish Sweetness

          I’ll have five euro on George Foreman against Joe. Both men in their prime – no elastic ropes … no 500 degrees celcius temperatures. Not that we ever saw George in his prime because he walked away from it.

      • IBNO

        Oh, and the dude in my avatar, Shaun Gayle, was probably the most underrated Safety for the past 40 years. Great cover skills, smart, and an absolute beast of a form tackler.

        • Irish Sweetness

          Kind of puts the current clowns playing safety for us in perspective. Is this THE WORST D we have had in the history of the franchise ? When our corner are our best players you know we’re in trouble.

  • MB30SD

    this is pretty much what I think is going to happen this weekend

    • gpldan

      Actually using a Bronco was a nice touch. And a gift to humanity.

      • MB30SD

      • gpldan

        Quick story, a college buddy who was ROTC was going to Norfolk VA and I agreed to drive him from Iowa City to his naval base in his Bronco and then bring the car back for him. I ended up being Chauffer for him and his girlfriend. Dude had a 79 with the lift kit and the starburst side, pretty close to this one:

        http://bringatrailer.com/wp-content/plugins/PostviaEmail/images/1979_Ford_Bronco_For_Sale_Front_resize.jpg

        Holy fuck. I-70 through the mountains in that POS was turrible. And then BACK. He and his GF spent the whole trip there snugglin and I did way too much driving for them.

        We dropped him off to begin his service, and I slept with his girlfriend on the way back as an extra bonus for having to pilot that fucking craptastic POS.

        • MB30SD

          yeah, but it looks pretty sweet.

          Nice of you to do that for him. tsk tsk

    • Irish Sweetness

      (meekly raises hand)

      Wasn’t there an orphanage close by that could have used ….

      (immediately gets pelted with tomatoes)

  • MB30SD

    my god are you fucking serious?!

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/01/30/msnbc-apology-phil-griffin-cheerios-tweet_n_4697715.html

    They need to just dump every single member of congress and start over. SMFH

    • johnnywad

      This is going to be a great off season topic. I’d like to open the floor after the Super Bowl with some thoughts on where our society is headed and what, if any, role these jerk offs actually play in it.

      • MB30SD

        You have the floor sir.

        Pssssst… it is the off season.

        • Irish Sweetness

          Yup. The play-offs …. AKA our off-season.

    • Cormonster

      I went to Jr High and High school with Reince Priebus, the Republican Chairman. We had a World Affairs class together. He was a spitting image of Alex P Keaton. He was kind of funny back then. Now he’s a Fucking weasel big government establishment Republican. I check his Facebook page occasionally, and there are a lot of people pissed off at the party, especially the small government types fed up with the culture wars and out of control spending.

      • MB30SD

        the animal on the door doesn’t matter Corm, every single one of these fucking guys is a useless wank and is only in it for himself and no one else.

        They are all corrupt and pathetically worthless to the everyman. The system makes me sick, but I guess it’s what they’ve got in the DRC

        • CanadaBear

          When I was younger I wasn’t so cynical and would argue with you. Now I totally agree. Both sides are run by corporations. The biggest corporations line both sides pockets to the max (Oil, Medical Ind, Insurance Ind.). Smaller ones pick which side they want to be on and line their pockets. No politician is left behind.

        • johnnywad

          There. Now I don’t have to post anything.

  • Ososfan

    Jeff, I pass Moonachie all the time, where is this?! Lol I don’t think the restaurant exist anymore….

  • AlbertInTucson

    “Watch out for special teams in this game. ”

    Do the Broncos trust Trindon Holliday?

    He could turn the game in EITHER direction.

    • Max

      I agree. Holliday is the definition of a wild card. God knows what he will do when they punt it to him.

  • MB30SD

    Dave and Irish.

    Please find the full stat comparison of both players herein: http://www.flickr.com/photos/115411468@N03/

    As you can see, they stack up damn pretty well, and in some critical game-changing areas Brown is considerably better, in fewer games.

    Again, this whole thing was based on personal preference and opinion anyway, so your refuting my opinion seemed silly to begin with. You are both most certainly welcome to your own opinions… dave, if you want to do another spreadsheet and add your man conte’s stats, go for it! (hee hee)

    In the end, I loved Mike Brown as much for what he did off the field as much as what he did on it… he was the epitome of a team leader, team player, and a clutch game-changing element when we needed it most, something that can never be measured in numbers on a chart.

    • CanadaBear

      MB if the real MB hadn’t been dinged up so much his last few years with the Beloved I’d probably agree with ya but he was dinged up all the time. You must be going off of stats to say that his last year with KC “was a pretty damn good year”. He was healthier and played in every game but his speed was gone (he was never a speed demon, even as a rookie) and he was getting by on moxie. I watched a few KC games that year and he was running on fumes. MB was one of my faves when he played but it was due to his being the smartest guy in the back end. People always talk about him being a hitter. I mostly remember him bouncing off guys in short yardage situations. He was a great leader and until he was too beat up to be anything more than avg, a terrific safety.

      • MB30SD

        yeah, I was looking at the stats when I said that. Although, I do remember watching a couple of those games canada and thinking, “He’s still got some of it. he’s doing ok. Good for him”

        Guess I just wasn’t expecting much when he came back and was happy he got another chance to play. Despite any stats, he shall remain one of my favorite football players of all time.

        • CanadaBear

          I totally get that. He was a fave for me too. Besides his heady play, he was always a stand up guy that never ducked the press. He told the truth whether you wanted to hear it or not. I always thought he would have made a terrific HC at some point.

        • Irish Sweetness

          Given the current clusterf**k at safety, certainly most Bear fans are missing Brownie – and although most of ’em aren’t ready to admit it ….. a certain bullet-headed caucasian linebacker.

          • MB30SD

            problem is that it’s been a cluster fuck for almost 10 years straight now. it needs to be fixed. doesn’t have to be ed reid and doug plank, just something solid.

    • Irish Sweetness

      Interceptions is a fairly key stat though, MB, I mean if you’re talking defensive backs. And when one guy has at least 150% of the INTs of the other guy, back when they didn’t throw the ball as much … well, let’s have a look at your stats there …. okay, Petibon played 36% more games than Brownie, so there’s that. Fencik played about four more games than Petibon so …

      Oh fuggit …..

      I, IRISH McSWEETNESS DO HEREBY DECLARE THAT MIKE BROWN IS THE GREATEST BEAR SAFETY OF ALL TIMES, INTERCEPTIONS NOTWITHSTANDING.

      And I signed it in blood. Can I sleep now? Can you take these things off?

      • MB30SD

        yes. better.

        I personally don’t at all think that INTs are a free safeties most important stat… maybe 3rd or even 4th behind pass defenses, tackles, but more important is the leadership on the field and ability to stop the huge play… things that aren’t on the stat sheet.

  • CanadaBear

    Here’s an interesting read from, SI about SB halftime shows. Good info and a couple of good laughs.

    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/longform/halftime/?eref=sihp

    • Cormonster

      Good read. Half-time shows almost universally suck, even when I like the band.

      • CanadaBear

        The Who were esp brutal. I’ve never been a huge fan but for their biggest fans that halftime show must have broken their hearts.

        • Cormonster

          The blues based guys and bands seem to have a longer shelf life live in general than most rock bands. Maybe it’s because they tour more or keep recording new material.

          The Who was “playing old” when I seen them in the early 90’s. I wasn’t that impressed. The SB was terrible. They should have had Black Sabbath instead. At least they came out with a pretty good album a few years ago.

          • MB30SD

            cain’t wait to see the crue on their farewell tour. not BS, but awesome all the same.

            http://www.motley.com/

          • Cormonster

            I got some hot HS friends who are psyched for that show. I’ll probably pass, but loved the first two albums. It should be a great show. I think they’re better now musically than the times I seen them in their heyday.

          • MB30SD

            the buddy i’m going to go with saw them a few years ago and said they rocked it the fuck out. played all the favs. I’m looking forward to it.

            You should go just for the experience maingses

          • Cormonster

            Nah, only as a last minute deal. Tickets go on sale in 2 weeks for the show in November. Too far in advance for me. Plus I’m a music snob. I prefer small venues where I can get great seats for up and coming or under the radar bands.

          • CanadaBear

            Usually it all depends on if the front man can still pull it off. Can Vince still do that night after night? Hope so. The musicians rarely lose it unless it’s drug/alcohol induced. It would be fun to see them.

          • Cormonster

            Vince still sounds good with a few effects. Mick Mars still sucks on guitar, but he was never good live. The rhythm section makes up for it though.

          • MB30SD

            Saw the cult a couple months back. Ian still rocked it the fuck out… aaaaand my buddy whipped out his dick and took a full piss in the middle of the crowd. Smh

          • Cormonster

            Did you help guide the spray to protect others from getting soiled? I hope it at least was an outdoor venue with grass or sand.

            To be honest, I never really listened to the Cult, so don’t know anything about their music.

          • MB30SD

            It was a small indoor venue… house of blues downtown San Diego.

            Yes, I held his penis… ever so tenderly of course.

          • Irish Sweetness

            There was ‘She sells sanctuary- a classic tune, and then not much else worth mentioning IMHO.

          • CanadaBear

            Not sure I’d share that info. Outdoors, pretty iffy. Indoors, definitely not OK. Saw George Thoroughgood, Johnny Winter and Big Twist and the Mellow Fellows at the Aragon Ballroom back in the ’80’s at a Halloween show. People were pissing in the corners up in the balcony. Not impressed!

          • MB30SD

            Yeah, I wasn’t all that stoked about it. .. like the 20 people around us, but it’s not liked he asked my permission so I just went with the flow (see what i …) and covered for him

          • CanadaBear

            You gotta be there for your buddy. I get that.

          • CanadaBear

            Not really a Motley Crue fan. Was Mars awful in the studio, too?

          • Cormonster

            He was pretty good on the first two albums. The others he was OK I guess. If you do enough takes in the studio anyone can sound good. His live guitar solos are all effects.

            A Crue show in 87 cost me big time. I was breaking curfew almost every weekend going to Alpine Valley, and my parents were pissed. I just turned 17. They told me if I wasn’t home by 1am they would sell all my concert tickets. Per usual, we got to Alpine early and were close to the entrance. It took forever to get out of the parking lot and didn’t get home until after 3am. Had to be at work at 5:30 (I worked every day in the summer at a country club on the grounds crew.)

            When I got home from work, my parents asked me which friends would be interested in my Pink Floyd and Roger Waters tickets. Both bands were playing in Milwaukee that September. I was crushed when they didn’t change their minds. Floyd was by far my favorite band and they knew it. I cried like a baby the night of the Floyd show talking to my girlfriend. Moral of the story: it was Mötley Crue’s fault.

          • CanadaBear

            WOW! That really sucks. I’ve never seen Pink Floyd or Roger Waters. Pink Floyd played at the Unidome in Cedar Falls, IA back in the late ’80’s. I was working and couldn’t go. It was in the paper the next day that some official was at the show and the music hit 120 decibels on the meter. That’s crazy loud. Wish I was there.

          • Irish Sweetness

            Dude. Cor, man. The Crue? C’mon man … hair bands ? I give JBJ a pass because they had some good songs … but the Crue ?? That’s one step away from Poison …… re-focus man, deep breaths …. drink a third of the JD … get your leathers on …. and scream into the mirror …. I’M A ROCKER!

          • CanadaBear

            It was odd watching Ozzie as a bumbling old fool and then turn into Ozzie Fucking Osbourn. He’d still be fun to see and the other guys all bring it every night.

          • Cormonster

            Did you ever get to see Sabbath live? Sabbath in the day or early Ozzy with Randy Rhoads would have been awesome. Your right about Ozzy. He shakes and mumbles off stage, but when he gets on stage he can still kick ass. It will never happen, but it’d be cool to see something like this at halftime.

            http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=UKDv53XdSn8

          • CanadaBear

            Saw them in ’72 in Dubuque, IA. They were playing at a HS gym. They were awesome. I was right up against the stage in front of Tommy. At the end of the show they polled the audience on what they wanted to hear for an encore. It came down to 2 songs and they played ’em both. I’m sure it was the same thing every night but it was a nice gimmick.

          • Cormonster

            Awesome. You got to see the birth of heavy metal.

          • NewBearInTown

            For years I’ve said that Metallica would make a great halftime show. Do something like when they played an album with a full symphony orchestra, but do it bigger, with more brass.
            Then I saw the Grammys show they did. They’re still great by themselves, but I just don’t think they’ve got the same creative edge they once did. That show was terrible.

          • Irish Sweetness

            Untouchable as a metal band. There was no way they could keep improving after ‘Load’, no mountain can be climbed forever. I liked only one song off their last three albums (Day that never comes), everything else just does nothing for me. Is there still a metal scene? Surely the genre is dead now, save for the young ‘uns who listen to all the old stuff? But man, they were all alone at the top of the hill back in the day.
            All.
            Hail.
            Metallica.

  • MB30SD
  • MB30SD
    • gpldan

      Yale grad running $600k in prop bets on one Super Bowl. He’ll probably end the day with $660k after a lot of churn. But he made $60k and good luck IRS in tacking all his tickets if he doesn’t file them all.

      Interesting way to make a living.

      • MB30SD

        three times a year and you’ve made a damn good annual salary… and tax free…. niiiiice!

        • NewBearInTown

          I’ve never looked carefully at the prop bets, but it seems like you could cherry pick the ones that are poorly balanced by doing some research.
          For example, the length of the national anthem is always a bet. But someone who was really interested to spend the time could (a) time previous national anthems sang by the same artist; (b) time previous national anthems in previous Superbowls; (c) compare avg. national anthem times for other artists to their Superbowl times to see if artists tend to trend longer or shorter; and (d) possibly even get someone to attend a rehearsal or get info on the flyover schedule.
          The average fan wouldn’t do that kind of work, but a serious gambler might. Then you find 100 bookies running the prop, bet $100 with each of them, and you’ve got $10,000 riding on something with solid odds.
          But then again, Vegas mops the floor with guys like me because I would never spend the time needed to do something like that. I just bet on 500 word punishments with SDPF.

      • My Bad Guys, My Bad…

        I found that article interesting and decided to scale it down and try it this year. I put 75 one dollar bets in yesterday on bovada.lv with varying levels of risk and reward.
        If I net a 30% rate of return I will then try it with more money next year. That’s hedge fund returns.

    • NewBearInTown

      Bad writing. They never actually say what the Fridge bet was. I assumed for 2/3 of the article it was something about Fridge vs. Payton stats, but based on the odds I think it was just 10-1 if they would have Fridge play fullback on a play.

  • NewBearInTown

    Alright SDPF. I’ve got three bets for you. Take your pick.

    Bet 1:
    I will take Denver straight up.

    Bet 2:
    I will take Seattle +3.5.

    Bet 3:
    If Denver wins, I will bet that Peyton throws for 3 touchdowns or less.
    If Seattle wins, I will bet that someone other than the quarterback is the MVP.

    I will make any 1 of these Superbowl bets with you. The loser has to write 500 words on why the Packers would have beat the Superbowl champs.

    • MB30SD

      wow, brutal price to pay.

      This tuesday I got a text from my buddy saying discount double dioooche himself was at my favorite watering hole (his brother works at a bar down the street). I thought about going down there and giving him the ‘ol Gillooly.

    • 4ever85 (AKA Butch Deadlift)

      Sounds like an Irish Bet.

      If you lose, you have to write 500 words on how the Rothschilds are Tall white Aliens ruling earth.

      • Irish Sweetness

        No, TWs are the good guys – and the following is not my opinion but the opinion of those who believe in the Reptilian overlords.

        Allegedly, the Rothschilds – and the Tribe in general – have either Reptilian or Tall grey DNA within them (the small greys are just biological servant slaves, the ones that do the abductions and genetic experiments). Hence the disproportionate number of Nobel prize winners in the sciences, success in the performing arts, control of the planet’s wealth etc. Hence, the label of “the chosen ones” …. allegedly … and not according to me. I just think the Rothschilds were one of the first banking families, and have been riding the gravy train ever since right to the very top of the pyramid.

        Adam and Eve and all of that does make sense though, when one one incorporates the possibility that we are all genetically modified from Cro Magnon man or whatever. Then you really would have an Adam and Eve. Then there could have been a virgin birth (catholicism) whereby Mary gave birth to the King of the Jews and so on ….

        But the whole Lizard Ruler thing .. .I don’t know .. .that’s a huge leap of faith.

        Light at the end of the tunnel ? There is another race … above the TWs and Greys etc. – an older more powerful race who are looking after us – and these may be the ascended masters who ruled here a long time ago (ref the Sumerian tablets, Eygptian paintings etc.) … and they have our best interests at heart, as they are likely our actual progenitors. They are not happy with the NWO and won’t allow anything such as nuclear war to take place – they will intervene if things go too far. There have been many, many such incidents where nuclear assets have been rendered unusable byt E.T.s, with testimony made by some of the people who witnessed these things happen, ref Sirius Disclosure and CSETI)

        The whole “we evolved from apes” idea is pure horse manure. Look at apes nowadays, how far did our “cousins” progress? How close are they to a moon landing?

        We are “apes” genetically modified by ascended masters. Probably.

    • Still a Doug Plank Fan

      Boy, those are some heavy-stacked bets, NBIT…sheesh! Only one I see with wiggle room is Bet #3.

      So, of course, I’m going to take Bet #1, and I do that believing Denver will win.

      My sneaking suspicion is that Pete Carroll isn’t an idiot, and that Russell Wilson is being written off as a wide-eyed kid who thinks he’s dreaming and is scared to death of waking up.

      Because Manning is everyone’s choice to win it (by himself, if necessary), I’m giving Seattle the gut-nod.

      So, yer on. I think Seattle takes it away from Denver, and I think a LOT of people are going to be pissed about that.

      • NewBearInTown

        You are on SDPF. I was thinking to route for Seattle tomorrow, mainly because I love a good defense and watching Marshawn Lynch break tackles, but I will now be Peyton Manning’s biggest fan. Supporting Manning is easy, its supporting Elway that I don’t enjoy…

  • gpldan

    Jeremy Irons as Alfred is okay, I guess.

    But Jessie Eisenberg as Luthor? Ugh. What is Lex’s plan, to hack Clark Kent’s Facebook account?

    Skipping Cranston as Luthor? Turrible. The internet said Heisenberg and the producers heard Eisenberg.

    http://www.usatoday.com/story/life/people/2014/01/31/jesse-eisenberg-cast-as-lex-luther-in-batman-vs-superman/5083709/

    • 4ever85 (AKA Butch Deadlift)

      I don’t know why they always cast the weirdest ppl for Lex Luthor.

      Gene Hackman, really?
      Kevin Spacey? Cmon, man.
      Now this dude?

      • NewBearInTown

        Gene Hackman was actually solid to my mind. Maybe a little old, but he captured the egotistical, evil genius role just about right.

    • Irish Sweetness

      Eisenberg – is that the kid that played Zuckerburg ? Facepalming. What’s going on there – Superman Tiny Toons?

      Any truth to the new Star wars movie title … “EP. VII – A New Dawn”. Nice linkup with Ep IV if it is.

  • MB30SD

    this stuff amazes me. The inherent talent people have for this kind of thing blows my mind

    • CanadaBear

      Creative people are really fun to be around. They look at things so differently.

    • NewBearInTown

      The videos is down. What was it?

      • CanadaBear

        It was a clip of a guy painting a Peyton Manning mural on an outside wall. Filmed in time-lapse. I’m sure if you googled it, it’s still out there.

  • Sactowns#1

    I almost forgot about the Manning/ Tillman misque in the SB. Kinda puts the Conte mistake into perspective. I’d say the Hester return has to be one of the top 10 Bears plays of all time. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8–shZjlQkM

    • johnnywad

      Spotted us seven and still couldn’t win. Fuck.

    • BerwynBomber

      Brave man posting twenty-two minutes of that debacle. Personally, I’d rather watch highlights of one of our bigger losses to the Cheese than that Indy game. Btw, what was the Tillman miscue? I have forgotten it.

      • Johnathan Wood

        Tillman and whichever safety was back there (I forget which one in their long string of awful it was. Maybe Danieal Manning?) had a miscommunication on Marvin Harrison’s long TD. Harrison was left uncovered, and was still able to score despite a horrendous throw from Payton.

        • CanadaBear

          My memory stinks but I remember it was Manning at fault.

        • BerwynBomber

          Well, for one it was Wayne not Harrison, but yeah, could’ve been Tillman but I do remember D. Manning. Peanut also got burned in that one playoff game we hosted against Carolina by Steve Smith. Mike Brown was made to look bad too.

        • Irish Sweetness

          Technically, Peanut was ‘handing over’ Reggie Wayne to D. Manning – who thought it would be a better idea instead to cover Ben Utecht (!)

      • Sactowns#1

        To deny the past is to deny the present. All your past experiences have made you who you are today. Embrace the past, even the painful parts and be thankful they helped you to reach the present.

      • Irish Sweetness

        If ever there was a QB who needed gloves – especially in the rain …. and he had the audacity to basically blame Kreutz on the sideline “give it to me horizontal” – WTF does that mean?

    • Irish Sweetness

      Signed myself out of hospital for a day so I could watch it. The run-back was worth it. Definitely.

      I haven’t watched the highlights reel until now. Things I didn’t remember :

      1. The Colts missed their first PAT.
      2. Cedric coughing it up.
      3. How weak and disingenuous Grossman’s giddy-up patter was.
      4. TJ was on the sideline telling Sex Cannon to protect the ball when he was scrambling … Sexy rexy just smiles like a goon shaKing his head and says “just be patient…” – TJ looking at him like JUSTSHUTTHEFUCKUPANDLISTENTOMEBOYYYYI’MTRYIN’TOTELLYOUSUMTHINHERE!

  • gpldan

    You just fucking KNEW that Magneto was a Broncos kinda guy. Coloradans believe they are genetically superior, so it’s perfect.

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BfUXOhNIUAAdJq0.jpg

    • 4ever85 (AKA Butch Deadlift)

      haha…they’re like best friends. I saw Sir Patrick Stewart at a Star Trek Convention (that’s right, bitches!)

      He said that he and Magneto we’re going to do plays on Broadway. Don’t know if that panned out. Maybe Jeff knows.

  • MB30SD

    shady and murph, just lurking and voting. COMMON MAINGSES!

    smh.

    • Cormonster

      For some reason I can’t see the voting on my phone. Anyone have ideas why? I could at first when the switch happened, then poof that function stopped working. MB, someone was pissed off at you a few weeks ago. Every one of your posts had a down arrow.

      • 4ever85 (AKA Butch Deadlift)

        It was Conte.

        • MB30SD

          fuck that guy

      • MB30SD

        yes, I do thank you for taking over dave’s comprehensive and diligent work. I very much appreciated every single post getting the down vote.

        Nicely done.

        • Trac

          he he.

        • Cormonster

          Ah, so that’s who it was. I figured a new guy you pissed off.

          • MB30SD

            yes, our safety battle was in full bloom. good times.

    • DaMurph

      MB, the lurker is watching! Ive been on the IR for a couple weeks, traveled to NY last week, off to Hawaii on Monday. I’m pulling for the Seahawks to win, Ive always disliked the Broncos, I like Manning as a person, but dislike him when he is playing. I like and admire Russel Wilson, class act all around. Im not holding Shermans rant against him, it was a huge game, a huge play, against one very douchey receiver. I probably would have gone into a rant given the same circumstances. I’m contemplating free agency and the draft, looking forward to next season, hoping Tucker can awaken some genius with this hybrid thing and utilize 99’s talent we were led to believe he had. If Phil can hit on 2 first rounders in a row Ill start believing, if he busts again ill be thinking we have JA2 in the making.

      • MB30SD

        MUUUUURPH!!!!

        IR and traveling, or just traveling?

        • DaMurph

          Both

  • 4ever85 (AKA Butch Deadlift)

    It’s gonna be a great matchup this Sun. Best O vs Best D. One of the all time great QBs against a defense that has a nickname.

    The Bronco’s D has picked it up. Any many ways, they’re like the Pack and Saint’s D when they won. Opportunistic.

    It’s hard for me to envision Peyton not winning it at this point. If he were gonna choke, he’d have done it against Bilichick.

    Only way I see the Seahawks winning is if their D gets at least 3 turnovers, some excellent specials, and Lynch going Beast Mode.

    If I were the Broncos, I put eight men in the box and force Wilson to beat me downfield with questionable receivers.

    The Broncos get up early and that might be all she wrote for the Seachickens.

    • AlbertInTucson

      A lot of folks didn’t think the Seahawks could fall behind by 10 against the 49ers and survive.

      • 4ever85 (AKA Butch Deadlift)

        They almost didn’t. IF it weren’t for some dubious calls by the refs. Plus, the 9ers O is not close to be as prolific as Peyton’s

        The Seahawks get behind 2 scores, it’ll be tough for them to get back in.

        • gpldan

          I agree. If the Seahawks fall down by 10, you are just watching because of the ads.

      • Irish Sweetness

        But that’s with Kap under Center … as much as I don’t want Turtlehead to get another ring .. .if it’s Turtle v Wilson in a QB shootout …. I fear another Manning page in the fairytale.

  • AlbertInTucson

    Question: Is the Seahawks D just “Very Good” and really only “Great” when the opposing offense can’t hear it’s QB…?

    • BerwynBomber

      I’m rooting for them but I don’t consider them great. It was a different game, of course, back in the 70s and 80s, but hard to compare them favorably to the Steel Curtain or the ’85 Bears, and even in a more contemporary sense, that first Raven’s SB-winning team. Or heck, may be even a team like TB that finally won under Gruden. In an individual sense, how many potential HoFers does Seattle start on their D? Sherman and Thomas, maybe? All that said, if they come out and shut down Manning and Denver they won’t be easily forgotten.

      • Johnathan Wood

        how many HOFers does Denver have on offense right now? Probably 1, unless D. Thomas ends up being really good.

        A team with more than one HOFer on a position unit right now is incredibly dominant

      • NewBearInTown

        They’ve got Cliff Avril and Michael Bennett as DEs. Those guys are both playing lights out.
        Hard to say how many HOFers though… they’ve got a really young team.

  • AlbertInTucson

    “Denver Broncos 29, Seattle Seahawks 20.” I’d love to see that as a final. I’d also love to see loudmouth Sherman get toasted for a couple of TDs, too and because that’s what I WANT to see, I expect the Seahawks will win and Sherman will get a pick six.

    • gpldan

      You underestimate your own point: Without the home crowd making Manning deaf, he’s able to get off his 6-moves-ahead audibles that both tell the wideouts how to adjust their routes, how the lineman should adjust the pickup, which numbers are blitzing and what stock tickers to short on Monday – he will slice and dice and adjust and compensate.

      Warren Moon said on ESPN it was clear that Harbaugh figured out that Russell struggles with his sightlines and concentrated the blitz up the middle and he expects the Broncos to have seen that – and how many times they got Russell Wilson to flush the pocket and run, and continue to try and test his ability to throw on the run with run blitzing that forces him to move because he’s short.

  • AlbertInTucson

    Now they supposedly have Aaron Hernandez discussing details the Odin murder with his GF on the prison phone? How was this guy ever intelligent enough to understand a playbook?

    • DaMurph

      How can a human being be so broken to give up everything he had and could have accomplished, and be a thug? SMH

      • CanadaBear

        Once a dumbass …

  • MB30SD
  • MB30SD

    interesting site

    http://rookie.com/

  • MB30SD

    in celebration of all the totally turrible sb commercials that we’ll be forced to not laugh or even smile through tomorrow, I give you one of my all time favorites… when commercials were still allowed to be funny.

  • gpldan

    Just bout dat action boss

    I ain’t never seen no talking winning nothing! The quadruple negative!!! They said it couldn’t be done.

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1941485-marshawn-lynchs-bout-that-action-clip-gets-remixed

    The tune, it’s good. You can download it and play it in the car while rolling up.

    • MB30SD

      so brutal

  • Still a Doug Plank Fan

    Whichever one of you miscreants first posted up the WalterFootball site, thank you. It has taken some of my “Gee, I dunno” excuses, but it’s been fun exploring it today. So thanks.

    And yeah, I know I’m probably a year late, but you guys make me lazy. Why do I need to learn anything?

  • BerwynBomber

    Chico wins NFL Coach of the Year. (FWIW, my vote would have gone to Chip Kelly but hard to argue with Chico or even A. Reid.) Luke Kuechly wins Defensive Player of the Year.

    • Irish Sweetness

      How in thee world of wide sports does Rivers win comeback of the year? Was he injured? Did get cancer for a stretch? HE DIDN’T FUCKING GO ANYWHERE!

  • johnnywad

    The Seahawks have faced one passing offense in the top ten all year and it was the Saints, twice, in Seattle. Closest behind that was the Cardinals rolling in at 13th and they went up to Seattle and beat them. We’re going to find out tomorrow if the Legion of Boom is all Richard Sherman claims it to be or not. For my part, I hope Manning goes for 400 yds and 4 TD’s at a 70% clip. Screw Richard Sherman and his arrogant mouth.

    • MB30SD

      Sorry maings, had to down vote your ass on that one. Fucking love that D.

      • johnnywad

        THANK YOU SIR! MAY I HAVE ANOTHER!.

        I know. And it may be all that. Like I said, we’re going to find out. I’m just saying maybe their stats/rank are inflated a bit by playing in a division quarterbacked by Kellen Clemons, Carson Palmer and Kap. Kap is plenty good, but not because of his passing proficiency.

        • AlbertInTucson

          And the Seahawks are in the SB because of some very poor decision-making by Kap.

  • NewBearInTown

    Well that was an underwhelming Superbowl. An overshot snap for a safety on the first play of the game that was the closest the score would be before the final whistle. We saw the record set for completions in a Superbowl as well as catches by a wide receiver, and those were just for the losing team. We saw
    Troy Aikman say the last shutdown corner in the league before Richard Sherman was Deione Sanders. We saw the press box try valiantly to talk about Russell Wilson when he did nothing of note during the game except avoid being tackled by a Denver defense that couldn’t wrap up a train set for Xmas. And we saw one of the most dominating defensive performances in recent memory (though I think the Bears, Bucs and first time Ravens were all more impressive personally). But what we didn’t see, and what would have made it a real game, was the Green Bay Packers.

    The Packers SHOULD have won this year. So what happened?

    Well, it’s a conspiracy. Green Bay has been trying for decades to get out from the shadow of the
    Chicago Bears. Playing the Bears is like betting $20 in a knife fight. Even if you win, you’re so beat up afterwards its not worth the trouble. Look what happened to Rodgers this year. And the Pack have to play the Bears twice!

    Ever since interception-gate with the replacement refs, the Pack have wanted another shot at the Seahawks so they could embarrass them on the world’s biggest stage. After forming a warm relationship with the Rothchilds (who came up with the idea to sell worthless stock to the masses) and signing a 20 years sponsorship with State Farm insurance (Green Bay loves anything involving farms), the Pack had the money and influence to switch conferences and cities with Oakland. That way, they’d be eligible to play Seattle in the Superbowl, and they’d finally move to a city with some culture and class
    in the fan base.

    But it was not meant to be. Recent revelations about spying which are available to anyone with an
    unfiltered web connection who searches “Snowden and Asteroid Belt” nearly unearthed the Rothchild’s efforts to harness the earth’s cheese supply to power a race of human/warthog hybrids (commonly known as Packer fans) to form an unstoppable army meant to colonize Jupiter’s moons. Fearing discovery, the Rothchilds were forced to remove their influence from the NFL for most of the season (thus explaining Cleveland’s appearance of competence for a few games and the collapse of Matt
    Shaub).

    By the time a couple of well timed “lunar” eclipses had pulled the cheese head back over the eyes of the American public, it was too late. While the Packers were able to mount a late season surge to take the division, they would not be permitted to best the Seahawks if not on the world’s biggest stage. They trounced the Niners before allowing them a last second comeback. They would again plot their revenge the next time the Rothchilds reached the zenith of their powers (on Saturn’s next winter season).

    Until then the world was robbed of seeing Clay Matthews best Pete Carrol in a game of who’s gbot the best psychopath smile; of seeing Aaron Rodgers’s touchdown dance, a close approximation of the mating call of the Moroccan field mouse; of seeing John “cannonball” Kuhn best Marshawn Lynch in a game of who can get CTE the fastest while running for less than 50 yards! And of seeing the Packers cheerleaders, the Gouda Gals (who also double as their defensive line) show the Red Hot Chili Peppers how to really get America’s attention by performing shirtless.

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