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Three Potentially Unpopular Thoughts on Next Week’s NFL Draft

| April 17th, 2023


(1) For the life of me, I don’t understand the Anthony Richardson thing. Yes, he’s a superior athlete. But shouldn’t NFL teams at least require he LOOK the part of a professional quarterback in college? As I have been watching clips of various SEC defenders, I’m constantly seeing Richardson make the wrong read, throw the ball inaccurately, etc. Is he a draftable prospect? Of course. But it’ll be quite surprising if he’s relevant in the NFL in the next 2-3 years.

(2) The Bears should seriously consider taking Peter Skoronski if they stay at the ninth pick. Skoronski is not going to be a tackle in the NFL; he’s going to be a guard. And from what I’m told by folks who know way more than me, he can be a potentially top-level guard, a la Zack Martin. No one can convince me this current regime has any faith in the long-term viability of Teven Jenkins on this roster. Skoronski, pairing with Nate Davis, would give the Bears a pair of maulers on the inside, and the pick would give the Bears options with Jenkins.

(3) This is a complementary draft, not a star draft. Are Tyree Wilson and Will Anderson at the same level of a Myles Garrett? No. Are JSN or Jordan Addison a Justin Jefferson? No. I think all of the aforementioned players are going to be very good at the next level but so are Joey Porter Jr. and Adetomiwa Adebawore. (Looks at these two prospects coming tomorrow and Wednesday.) This is the year where you move back every chance you get because the guys being taken at 25 are not far off talent-wise from the guys being taken at 11. Ryan Poles knows this.

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391 Comments

Robert Schmitz on Jayden Reed, WR, Michigan State

| April 14th, 2023


All options (pick at nine, trade back) and all positions are on the table for Ryan Poles in a few weeks. Schmitz has been an invaluable Twitter resource for looking at how this crop of prospects fit the Bears.

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215 Comments

Dannehy: Jalen Carter, The Risk vs. Reward

| April 13th, 2023


If the Chicago Bears deem Jalen Carter’s tape good enough to warrant being selected with the ninth overall pick, they shouldn’t hesitate to turn in the card.

The conversation regarding Carter’s “off the field concerns” has gone way beyond logic. Carter pleaded no contest to two misdemeanor charges of reckless driving and racing and was sentenced to 12 months of probation, a $1,000 fine and 80 hours of community service. The charges stem from an incident last January in which Carter was involved in a race that led to a crash that killed Georgie football player Devin Willock and recruiting staffer Chandler LeCroy. Carter’s lawyer said the Georgia standout did not cause the crash, nor was he under the influence of drugs or alcohol. And there’s no evidence to suggest otherwise.

Yet, he is being treated as if he is a hardened criminal.

Last week, ESPN 1000’s David Kaplan compared Carter’s situation to a player who was “kicked out of the NBA for cocaine.” Doing the math on Kaplan’s story, he’s possibly talking about Duane Washington, who was 24 years old when he was suspended for two years after testing positive for cocaine in 1988.

Another possibility is Mitchell Wiggins, who was 28 when he tested positive for cocaine and was suspended for two years.

Carter is a 21-year-old college student who raced a car.

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180 Comments

My Favorite Players in the 2023 NFL Draft: RB Bijan Robinson, Texas

| April 12th, 2023

Robinson is not only one of my favorite players in this draft. I think he is the best player in the draft, and two people I know in the league agree with that assessment. And I think he’s going to make an immediate, star-level impact for the team that drafts him.



From Lance Zierlein at NFL.com

Overview

Full-menu back blending a smorgasbord of position-specific traits that allow him to affect games. Robinson is well-built with a compact lower half and pairs a low center of gravity with agile feet. There are elements of both fight and flight in his running style, but defenders can never be quite sure what they are going to get. He’s a capable inside/outside runner with unique footwork to stack moves and reset pathways, but can plow into tacklers at a moment’s notice using elite contact balance to keep the run rolling. He might need to dial back efforts to search out big runs so frequently and take what is there a little more often to keep from getting bogged down. His pass-catching talent ensures the opportunity for Robinson to see a high number of touches. He has a chance to become one of the more productive runners in the league very quickly.

Strengths

  • Three-down back with exceptional talent in all phases.
  • Owns a variety of footwork tools to alter pace, direction and power.
  • Feet are fast and fully connected with his vision for optimal results.
  • Resets run track with sudden jump-cuts against penetration.
  • Runs low to the ground and possesses rare contact balance.
  • Ability to stack moves adds a level of unpredictability to his carries.
  • Pinballs off of angle strikes and can rip through leg tackles.
  • Pairs instant burst with solid top-end speed.
  • Finishes runs with authority.
  • Soft hands and a nightmare to deal with on wheel routes.

And I’m not including Zierlein’s weaknesses, because I don’t agree with them. Kid is going to be a star.

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106 Comments

My Favorite Players in the 2023 NFL Draft: DT Calijah Kancey, Pitt

| April 11th, 2023


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369 Comments

My Favorite Players in the 2023 NFL Draft: OT Jaelyn Duncan, Maryland

| April 7th, 2023

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160 Comments

My Favorite Players in the 2023 NFL Draft: QB Stetson Bennett, Georgia

| April 6th, 2023

Stetson Bennett is a gamer, and he strikes me as the kind of talent/personality that could have a fifteen-year career in the NFL as a backup. His running ability, and feel for the big moment, make him the kind of player a team with a running quarterback should target at the end of this draft. They won’t regret it.


From Lance Zierlein at NFL.com:

Overview

Bennett will turn 26 years old during his rookie season and he’s small in stature relative to today’s game. Those two things will work against him, but his history of elevating his play in spotlight games against the best competition should be a factor for some teams. He doesn’t have a plus arm and his accuracy and placement can vary from drive to drive, but he throws with anticipation and has shown an ability to get through progressions as a pro-style passer. He’s rarely sacked and has the mobility to do damage outside of the pocket. Bennett has backup potential for a timing-based passing attack that includes concepts often seen in the Shanahan offense.

Strengths

  • Confidence and focus appear to elevate in the biggest games.
  • Posted 308.8 passing yards per game with a completion rate of 67.7 percent and TD-INT ratio of 19:3 while going 5-1 over last six postseason games.
  • Able to scan progressions across the entire field.
  • Moves his feet with his eyes for throw readiness.
  • No trouble coming off of primary read if it isn’t there.
  • Pump fakes to freeze cornerback on high/low concepts.
  • Makes throws with excellent anticipation from the pocket.
  • Sacked just 24 times over the past two seasons, per PFF.

Weaknesses

  • Very small and slight for the position by NFL standards.
  • Game to game consistency has been an issue at times.
  • Needs to navigate the pocket for cleaner launch points.
  • Lacks drive velocity to fit throws into a tight window.
  • Will fall off of some throws unnecessarily.
  • Release timing for play-action and rollouts is uneven.
  • Runs targets into collisions on zone throws between hashes.
  • Struggles with placement, touch and distance on many deep throws.

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157 Comments

My Favorite Players in the 2023 NFL Draft: WR Jaxson Smith-Njigba, Ohio State

| April 5th, 2023

Normally I save my “favorite players” for a single column draft week. But over the next month I’m going to roll them out slowly.

There are good receivers in this draft, even if those receivers don’t profile as starts. JSN is a star.


From Lance Zierlein at NFL.com:

Overview

Smith-Njigba is a possession slot receiver who lacks the shake to separate underneath and the speed to run past defenses. He’s tough in the middle of the defense and has proven he can make catches in congestion. Smith-Njigba will need to fine-tune his route running to give himself his best chance to succeed at the next level. It is impossible to ignore his monster finish to the 2021 season, and he has starting slot potential, but the speed concerns coupled with an injury-plagued 2022 season threaten to negatively impact his draft stock.

Strengths

  • Averaged 192 receiving yards per game in last five contests of 2021 season.
  • Plays tough in the teeth of the defense as a zone-beater.
  • Elevates his catch focus when contested.
  • Leverages his intermediate break points.
  • Softens and extends his hands to meet the throw.
  • Tracks deep throws with poise and accuracy.
  • Athletic and smooth catching on the move.
  • Plays to his top speed throughout the route.

Weaknesses

  • Vast majority of his production came in one season.
  • Rolls into his breaks with top-heavy momentum.
  • Lacks suddenness for separation in and out of breaks.
  • Below average top-end speed to win vertically.
  • Likely to be viewed as a slot-only option.
  • Lacks burst to elude after the catch.

Are the Bears Interested?

Yes.

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Dannehy: Chicago Bears Mock Draft, Volume I

| April 4th, 2023


The Chicago Bears really don’t have a lot of options when the NFL Draft opens later this month.

The team entered the offseason with as many asset-acquiring resources as any team we’ve ever seen. They filled some holes, but still are among the worst teams in the entire league when it comes to the offensive and defensive lines. Specifically, their offensive line, which features a gaping hole at offensive tackle and several question marks.

With that, I used the Pro Football Focus Mock Draft Simulator to help get a somewhat unpredictable look at the draft and I used five of the first six picks on linemen.


11. Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia

The Bears have put themselves in a position where they basically have to take an offensive tackle with their first pick. They can’t rely on getting a starter in the second round and going into the season with Larry Borom competing with Alex Leatherwood would be nothing short of malpractice. The good news is I was able to move back a couple of spots, exchanging the ninth, 64th and 103rd picks for the 11th, 41st and 72nd. All three of the consensus top offensive tackles were still available at 11 and I went with Jones because I like his fit with the Bears better.

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