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Four Thoughts on the Four Divisional Round Games

| January 20th, 2025


Kansas City Chiefs 23, Houston Texans 14

  • Every Chiefs game looks exactly the same. But one has to imagine that will need to change in the next round if they’ll have a chance to three-peat.

Washington Commanders 45, Detroit Lions 31

  • How do the Lions recover from a loss like this? Despite the injuries, they entered Saturday night as nearly 10-point favorites at home against a rookie quarterback. Now, after a humiliating loss, they face an off-season where they could potentially lose both coordinators and faith in their quarterback. Dan Campbell might have the most difficult job to do in the NFL over the next nine months.

Philadelphia Eagles 28, Los Angeles Rams 22

  • How do you handicap a game in conditions like that? I think in normal weather, Rams win. But Saquon Barkley and the Eagles offensive line are the most powerful weapons remaining in the postseason.

Buffalo Bills 27, Baltimore Ravens 25

  • When full flight, the Ravens felt like the best team in the league this season. But they just lost too many games like this; games they should have won.

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Divisional Round Gambling Guide!

| January 17th, 2025

4-2 last weekend, losing only the coin flip game between Washington and Tampa and the game everybody lost, Los Angeles at Houston. (Where the hell did that Justin Herbert performance even come from?) Still, a very good start to the postseason and my quest to make some money off the NFL in 2025.


Saturday January 18th – 4:30 PM ET

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

I’m going to lay the points because I think the Chiefs have spent the entire season preparing for this game and what they did in the 2024 regular season is not particularly relevant. I expect Mahomes to look like Mahomes, Kelce to look like Kelce, and Chris Jones is going to make it impossible for CJ Stroud to mount any kind of comeback. It is January. The Chiefs will Chief.


Saturday January 18th – 8:00 PM ET

Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (-9.5)

Since the Hail Maryland, which I was lucky enough to witness in person, these are the score differentials of the Washington games: 5, 1, 8, 8, 23, 1, 3, 6, 4, 3. Since November, they rarely win big, and they rarely lose big.

I think Detroit will win this game, and ultimately win the NFC, but this strikes me as game wherein Washington could either (a) score early and keep it close, or (b) score late for the backdoor cover. Because I’ve got multiple working scenarios, I’ll take the points.

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Cathy and Jake Buy a Printer: A Short Play About the Coaching Search

| January 14th, 2025


An early morning at Staples. Cathy and Jake are pacing back forth down the overcomplicated printer aisle.

JAKE: I love you, Cathy.

CATHY: You should.

JAKE: But I hate being here.

CATHY: There are too many printers.

JAKE: A lot.

CATHY: They all do different things.

JAKE: They do.

CATHY: What are we looking for?

JAKE: What?

CATHY: What’s most important?

JAKE: Printing.

CATHY: They all print, ass.

JAKE: Do they all print well?

CATHY: How the fuck am I supposed to know how they print. They’re sitting on a shelf. We buy one, we take it home, we connect it, it prints. That’s when we learn how they print.

JAKE: We could read reviews.

CATHY: From who?

JAKE: Whom.

CATHY: Fuck you.

JAKE: Reviews from people. On the internet.

CATHY: Do you think we should really be trusting the kinds of people who review printers on the internet?

JAKE: The way I see it –

CATHY: See what?

JAKE: Let me finish.

CATHY: Okay.

JAKE: The way I see it, we have two options. We can buy one of these reliable guys. Nothing exciting. You hit print; they print. You know what you’re getting, in standard black and white.

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