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Super Bowl Fifty Gambling Prop Guide

| February 4th, 2016

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These odds are courtesy of the great Jimmy Shapiro, who emails the world weekly with various odds.

BET 1: JOHN FOX

How many times will “John Fox” be said during the Broadcast?

Over     1          (-140, 5/7)

Under   1          (EVEN, 1/1)

(Note: From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

This seems like it might happen regularly during the broadcast but really why would it? Once the game begins, unless Fox is visible in the crowd, why would the announcers think to mention him? I’ll take the UNDER and feel safe with no worse than a push.

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BET 2: RETIREMENT

Will Peyton Manning announce his retirement in the postgame interview?

Yes      +500  (5/1)

No        -1000 (1/10)

You’re getting 5 to 1 odds on him doing it so you have to take YES. If the Broncos win and Peyton Manning is speaking to Jim Nantz on the stage in a sea of confetti, can’t you see him dropping a reference or two to his “last game”? I can. Don’t load up here but it’s worth the gamble.

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BET 3: SUPERMAN

How many times will Cam Newton do the Open Shirt Superman motion during the game?

Over     2.5        (EVEN, 1/1)

Under   2.5        (-140, 5/7)

 (Note: From kickoff to final whistle, halftime does not count.)

First, I don’t understand why he’d do this at halftime. Is that something he does? Second, the odds are bad but don’t you have to take the UNDER here? This is a terrific Broncos defense and I’m assuming Cam will only do the Superman bit on the occasional touchdown. I think we see Superman make an appearance. One appearance.

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BET 4: “THE COLOR” (A NOD TO DEADWOOD)

What color will the liquid be that is poured on the winning coach?

Orange             5/4 

Blue                  3/1 

Clear                 4/1 

Yellow              4/1 

Red                  6/1 

Green               10/1 

Purple               10/1 

When I gamble on horses, I start at 6-1. That’s where I think you start finding value when picking winners, something this prop is asking you to do. And since RED is a consistently dumped color on head coaches, I’ll take it at that price.

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BET 5: THE TOSS

Coin Toss

Heads               -105 (20/21)

Tails                 -105 (20/21)

I’ve had a $25 bet on the coin toss in the last three bars in which I’ve watched the Super Bowl and I’m -$75. It is the most exciting four seconds of my gambling year. This year just feels like a HEADS year. 

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