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Super Bowl Preview Volume V: Game Prediction

| January 29th, 2015

superbowl

It has to happen.

You can listen to any sports radio show in the country and hear hundreds of analysts breaking down the nuances of this wonderful Super Bowl match-up. (And it is a wonderful match-up.) But for me, the most amazing moments of Super Bowl XLIX will be after the game has been played. Because then, on the stage at midfield, commissioner Roger Goodell and NBC’s Dan Patrick will hand the Lombardi Trophy to Robert Kraft and Bill Belichick. Then those same gentlemen will hand the Super Bowl MVP trophy to Tom Brady.

It will be the glorious conclusion of all this deflation of football drama. And it will present the Kraft, Belichick, Brady trio the grandest stage in all of television to smugly address a suspect public and antagonistic media. Sports are always great theatre. No Super Bowl postgame scenario will have ever been more drama laden.

New England Patriots 24, Seattle Seahawks 16

PS.

I can’t get the images of the Seahawks v. Packers game out of my head. Seattle was awful for the entirety of regulation. No pressure. No passing game. Penalties galore. And after Green Bay had gifted them the lead late their “legendary” defense allowed Aaron Rodgers to walk down the field for the field goal. (Don’t legendary defenses NOT do that?) Two things I believe: (1) If Seattle had settled for a field goal in overtime they would have been beaten by Rodgers and (2) I believe the best team in the NFC is home right now. The Patriots don’t allow fake field goal touchdowns or onside kick recoveries. They are too well-coached for that.

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  • GPLDAN

    Thank you Jeff!

    This is why I am rooting for the Pats.

    For them to win is the ultimate zeitgeist moment, is it not? Cheaters never prosper? The rich don’t go to jail. There are two legal systems. Welfare moms are bad but the banks must have the government bailout money.

    Too much? Ok. How about a validation, or indeed a SUMMATION of everything the NFL is and always WAS, except laid bare. Carroll is a man who wraps himself in the public conceit that he really really CARES about his players. Bellichek has none of this. It’s ALL BUSINESS for him, and the business is to WIN, and if you aren’t CHEATING then you aren’t TRYING.

    What better metaphor for the NFL and the corruption of modern sports could there be? Goodell handing the trophy to Kraft who hands it to Bill, and Brady hoisting it over his head is the ULTIMATE VALIDATION that the game is rigged against the suckers.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaJAxdGeZ4E

    • CanadaBear

      I prefer Leonard Cohen’s version. Gotta go with the Canadian. Not to mention, he wrote it.

    • Irish Sweetness

      Thanks for that Ted 2 trailer. Didn’t think they’d be smart enough to make a sequel. I LOLed.

    • “SB is one 8 hour long commercial – a sweaty
      condiment-fueled capitalistic orgy which most accurately reflects
      western civilization.” – Butch the Bard, one thread ago.

      • Barb UMihai Mar

        don’t forget the urss type ‘patriotism and propagandist’.

        at least it’s not on fox, those guys always go the extra mile with that crap.

  • Trac

    Game prediction: I won’t watch it!

  • I’m going Pats as well, though it’s close. I think both defenses win their battles for the most part, but I’ll say Pats 20 Seahawks 17. Gronk is MVP.

    IMO these are the 2 best teams in the NFL, and I’m glad they’re matching up. Russell Wilson doesn’t usually play like shit, so I’m not judging too much based on one bad game.

    • I also think that GB would have won in a blowout against NE, because the Pats don’t have the defensive line to slow GB’s offense down. You beat GB by running the ball and hitting Rodgers. SEA does both those well (though they didn’t hit Rodgers much in NFCCG). NE isn’t great at either.

      • TheBigCheesy

        Packers went 1-5 on turf this year. Pats would have taken them I think

        • Every Packers loss save one (at NO) was against a team with a great pass rush. NE does not have a great pass rush. They couldn’t stop GB’s O last time, and I don’t think that would have changed.

          • Damn shame about that onside.

          • AlbertInTucson

            New Orleans is also where Rodgers’ leg first came up lame.

          • Barb UMihai Mar

            NE does not have a great pass rush because the of the scheme they employ. They contain and control with the DL.

          • Bender McLugh

            Nincovich has something to say about that……..their pass rush is there, just situational.

      • willbest

        New England lost 21 – 26 in GB to a healthy Rodgers. How you think they are going to get blown out when he can’t run it in neutral territory?

        • that game was not as close as the score made it appear, IMO. It never really felt like NE was in it.

          Regardless, I’m thrilled GB lost the NFCCG, because IMO they would beat NE in the SB.

    • Irish Sweetness

      Agreed on the two best teams in the NFL. Should be a great game. I’ve got SEA 26-23. Wilson’s star is in the ascendant.

  • TheBigCheesy

    The best team in the NFC is indeed at home right now…. in North Texas.

  • Doc Hamstring

    Seahawks 27
    Patriots 10

    There, I said it.

    • Trac

      What do I get if you’re right?

    • Shady

      SEA 28
      NE 24

  • CanadaBear

    If the Squawks play anything like they did agains the Fudgies, they are going to get blown out.

    • AlbertInTucson

      Gotta believe turning the ball over 5 times THIS would cost them a lot more than it did against the Packers.

      • CanadaBear

        You know Belichick and Brady would stab them in the heart if they gave them as many chances as they did the Fudgies. Also, can’t see the Pats falling apart like the Fudgies.

  • DocNitty(BallsStillOrnamental)

    I called repeat at the beginning of the year. I’ll stick to that.

    Hawks 31
    Pats 28

    Haushka wins it on a last second FG.

  • As odd as this may sound, I really think it’s going to come down to “no-name” WRs NOT dropping the balls. Seems like the team with WRs who actually catch and not choke tend to win big games.

    I think the Pats jump out early and keep their foot on throat.

    Pats 27
    Hawks 17

    • SC Dave

      Well, assuming the balls are at the pressure NE wants, you can expect that they will have fewer drops. If not, who knows?

  • Wouldn’t it be hilarious if the Pats cough up the ball 4 times now that the balls are actually inflated to standard regulation? I think ball security is being stressed a liiiilttle extra this week.

    • AlbertInTucson

      Oh, yeah! Couple THAT with Marshawn Lynch as MVP and let the laughs roll!

    • SC Dave

      That would almost make this one worth watching

  • willbest

    Patriots 27-13. Darth Hoodie shuts down Lynch, and forces Russel to beat them with his arm. Those floater passes he got away with against GB get picked off by the Pats whose secondary is much better than GBs.

  • AlbertInTucson

    Blogfather:” No Super Bowl postgame scenario will have ever been more drama laden.”

    Mebbe. But what IF, on the other hand, Seattle happens to win (Although I tend to think you’ve made the right call, Blogfather) and Marshawn “I got nothin to say to you” Lynch turns out to be the MVP?

    That circumstance may not be as “drama laden”, but it WOULD be a heckuva lot more COMEDIC!

  • Hey, someone brought up Cohen. So, I gotta ask, which are your top 5 songs/versions, and are other “Cohen-ish” singers out there today?

    • CanadaBear

      I’m Your Man, The Future, Everybody Knows, Closing Time, Dance Me to the End of Love

      • Cormonster

        No Hallelujah? There must be at least 50 covers of that song on youtube.

        • CanadaBear

          Exactly. I like the song but it’s been done to death. Closing Time is great. Every drinker can relate to that one. The Future was an inspired choice by Oliver Stone for the credits to Natural Born Killers. His voice is an acquired taste but the man can turn a phrase. I wasn’t even much of a fan until I moved to Canada and listened to my Little Love Dove’s copy of his greatest hits a bunch of times.

      • Thanks, Canada. I like those too.
        Any hidden gems you recommend from him?

        • CanadaBear

          No hidden gems. Suzanne, Hallelujah, Bird on the Wire, Tower of Song, Take This Waltz, First We Take Manhattan, Famous Blue Raincoat, If It Be Your Will, I Tried To Leave You, Ain’t No Cure For Love. All of them are pretty well known. I’m sure I’m forgetting a couple that I like but …

          • Awesome. That’ll do.
            I’ve been meaning to create a Cohen playlist for a while, but I wasn’t as familiar with him (I’m horrible at remembering song titles and ppl’s names), so I didn’t want to go fumbling about aimlessly.

            Cool. This will narrow down the search, though I’m sure I’ll include a few others.

            Thxs. Any other singers that remind you of him, along his lines?

            I’ll probably mesh Nick Cave with that playlist.

          • SC Dave

            I know next to nothing about Cohen, but you might want to try some Tom Waits.

          • CanadaBear

            Love Tom Waits. His voice is REALLY an acquired taste.

          • CanadaBear

            Check out his most recent live release. He’s got all those songs and about another 15-20 songs on it. Nick Cave is really cool but I don’t have any of his music. My all-time favorite non Blues and Roots performer is Richard Thompson. When he plays solo he’s a folk singer with great chops. When he has a band he wails on guitar. Here’s a solo song. I’ll follow that up with a wailing guitar number.

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j0kJdrfzjAg

          • CanadaBear
          • CanadaBear

            One last one. A flat out rocker. It’s a super nasty song about Margaret Thatcher. Apparently she used this phrase a lot when she was in power. This is from my favorite album by him. Also, Hand of Kindness and Across a Crowded Room are great albums.

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWjm6XdtEb0

  • Perhaps the biggest satisfaction I will receive on SB Sunday is knowing that the Packers will also be watching it from their homes lamenting, “What if…”

    • Cormonster

      It’s great that some in Packerland are still wondering why Fabio sat out for a crucial part of the 4th quarter, but played in OT and the Pro Bowl this week. Did he quit on the team? Was it a coaches decision? No one seems to know why since McCarthy and Fabio have both been silent on the issue.

      • CanadaBear

        He wasn’t exactly dominating in that last game. He’s still good but he’s on the downside of his career. I’ll be glad when I don’t have to watch him throw his hair around on the sidelines. The cameras just can’t seem to get enough of that.

        • Jokey

          And he’s turned into a punk cheap shot artist.

          • CanadaBear

            He was always kinda borderline.

  • Will Hill alert! Literally…

    Ravens FS Will Hill has a warrant out for his arrest in New Jersey for failure to pay his child support.
    It’s not the worst crime in the world as long as Hill pays the $16,588 he owes, but any trouble is bad trouble for Hill, who has been battling off-field issues since entering the league. Hill needs to keep his nose clean. He’s long on talent but has proven to be short on common sense. The Ravens are aware of the issue. – Roto

    • AlbertInTucson

      Hill’s attitude for child support is obvious: “Quoth the Raven,’Nevermore’.”

      • DaBearsBlog

        will has paid child support for the last 9 months. this is on ANOTHER child and from last march. will just needs to stop impregnating women. but that is never happening.

        also interesting how will hill’s 16k payment is a big story but everybody’s favorite dad – devon still – not making payments for a year seemed to escape the narrative.

        • AlbertInTucson

          Will must think he’s in the NBA…?

          • AlbertInTucson

            BTW, Men, they now KNOW what causes babies AND, how to prevent it!

    • NewBearInTown

      A warrant for non-payment? That’s a pretty intense remedy. He must be pretty far in arrears or else have a judge that feels like being a jerk to professional football players.

      • CanadaBear

        To me $16.6 K is a lot of money. Hard to say how many months that is. Deadbeat dads really piss me off. It’s bad enough you have kids that you won’t support by being there, then they compound the issue by not supporting them financially. Grow up you immature, selfish bastards (not you, of course NBIT).

        • especially when you make the kind of money Hill does.

        • NewBearInTown

          For an NFL player, $16K could be one month of child support. Warrants don’t get issued for one month.
          In Illinois and most states, child support can be taken directly from a person’s paycheck. Players are W-2 employees as I understand it. I don’t understand why these issues come up so often when a court could just calculate child support for the year and take it from a player’s paycheck. Maybe marketing revenue could be an issue, but those amounts could also be taken from game checks. There’s no reason for a warrant to be issued at this point in the season.

          • CanadaBear

            I totally agree with all of this NBIT. Deadbeat dads is one of my hot button issues. Always pisses me off, esp when they have plenty of money.

          • willbest

            The problem is the state doesn’t want a smooth child support payment system. The federal governments give states cash for all the child support money that cycles through their coffers. It is therefore in the states interest of the state bureaucrats to ensure the process is done through them.

            And if you were late once before and can thus be declared “habitual” they can throw you in jail pretty quick.

          • NewBearInTown

            Not in Illionois.

        • DaBearsBlog

          your idea of a deadbeat dad and what NFL players do is vastly different. these guys have kids everywhere.

          • CanadaBear

            I know that Jeff.

      • willbest

        Debtor’s prison exists for child support payments. The Government brought it back about 20 years ago.

    • Irish Sweetness

      Arrestedf or $17K child support? Ridiculous. Where’s an NFL player supposed to find that kind of cash?

  • Time to worry?

    ESPN Vikings reporter Ben Goessling fully expects “bigger and better things” from Teddy Bridgewater in Year 2.
    Bridgewater recorded the third-highest completion percentage (64.4) and seventh-highest passer rating (85.2) by a rookie in NFL history. He did it even though Cordarrelle Patterson was a liability, Kyle Rudolph was hurt, Adrian Peterson missed 15 games and he was learning Norv Turner’s offense for the first time. – Roto

    • from 1992-2012, the QBs who had a passer rating equal to or greater than the NFL average as rookies (100+ pass attempts) were Big Ben, Jay Cutler, Matt Ryan, Carson Palmer, Cam Newton, RG3, and Russell Wilson.

      RG3 is the only one of those guys who didn’t end up being at least an average QB, and that’s because he did it in a gimmick offense, which Bridgewater didn’t.

      The Vikings have a keeper.

      • NewBearInTown

        The good news is, he’s not showing signs of being the next transcendent QB like Luck. I couldn’t deal with Rodgers and Luck in the same division…

      • CanadaBear

        He made huge strides from our first meeting to the second. We flustered and confused him the first time. Sure didn’t the second time. Of course, our D was about as simple as could be but he still progressed a lot in that short time frame.

        • willbest

          Pretty sure neither team really wanted to win in week 17.

          • CanadaBear

            Good point.

    • Barb UMihai Mar

      Teddy Bridgewater is smart. I like his potential and his supporting cast, coaching wise.

  • Jokey

    Best team in NFC is still in it. 2nd best NFC team allowed the fake field goal TD. And lost onside kick, etc. etc. etc.

  • Maddbearfan

    Oh wait…are the Bears or Greenbay in the SB….nope…Dooooon’t Care!

    • SC Dave

      Or at least someone to root FOR instead of against.

  • #Truths dead cousin

    I think that Indy game made the Pats look better than they actually are… His PS points are stupid, but then again most of his posts usually are….

    • GPLDAN

      Nice Avatar

      • #Truths dead cousin

        Thanks Jim.

        • Irish Sweetness

          Gene Wilder may be the sweetest man on the planet.

  • Scott W.

    This is another SB that I’ll either watch, or not, depending on my mood. I tape it so my wife can do her annual criticisms of the commercials, but this SB, like so many before it, just seems like an excuse for the rich and famous to be seen partying.
    I think GB should be in it, damn me anyway, not Seattle.
    As far as NE, I would rather have seen Indy make it.

    • WP4Life

      If anyone deserves to be there it’s the Cowboys

      • Scott W.

        Yeah. They got screwed. I’d just rather it was GB. I hate the Lions, I’m indifferent about the Vikes, but I always fall back on the GB/US rivalry. And if it can’t be us…

        • DaBearsBlog

          Dallas had zero business beating Detroit, never mind making the Super Bowl.

  • NewBearInTown

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYnJv68T3MM
    For those interested in betting on the coin toss.

    • Shady

      Math pr0n. Nice. Doc would like this.

  • AlbertInTucson

    DaBearsBlog @dabearsblog
    “No question about it. RT @davebirkett What does everyone think on the topic? Should pass interference be reviewable or not?”

    If the NFL insists on allowing 30, 40 and even 50 yard penalties, yes, definitely.

  • GPLDAN

    Can Seattle’s linebackers do this?

    http://www.tampabay.com/specials/2015/nflpics/SB49/deflategateint.gif

    Cause if they can do it w/o fail, they can win.

    • Bender McLugh

      pick off a pass that was deflected at the line? Yeah, I’m pretty sure they can do that.

      • GPLDAN

        THat pass was not deflected at the LOS.

        We resorted to putting Mundy on Gronk after he torched Chicken Dinner. Few LBs can match up with him.

  • GPLDAN

    Biggs time was on the radio waves today.

    His mass actually weighs radio waves down, so the tape delay gets larger.

    He said that the DL coach is being retained by Fangio and that this DL coach called Jared Allen and had a heart to heart with Allen. Wanted to know what Allen could and would do to stay relevant.

    I think they may try and posture Allen as a stand-up 3-4 OLB on the strong side, but not unless Allen commits to it. I guess Allen called Biggsy to let him know the conversation happened. Perhaps he is sending signals he is willing to refine his game to stay in Chicago.

  • haha. Have you guys watched this? Pretty funny bit on Deflate Gate. Barb makes a cameo.

    http://abc7.com/entertainment/i-am-the-locker-room-guy-stars-fess-up-to-deflate-gate/497315/

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